HOME	PRODUCTS	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1100
2100Z MON AUG 14 2000
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM LA PAZ AROUND THE PENINSULA TO TODOS LOS SANTOS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 107.4W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 107.4W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 107.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.1N 109.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 22.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 107.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 23.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 23.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN