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TROPICAL STORM ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1100
0300Z MON AUG 14 2000
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 105.0W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 105.0W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 104.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.7N 106.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.2N 109.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 105.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 21.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 22.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH

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