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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1100
2100Z SUN AUG 13 2000
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO
CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES...
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 104.0W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 104.0W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 103.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.1N 105.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.2N 106.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 104.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 20.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 21.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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