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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0300
0900Z THU JUN 22 2000
  
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 107.0W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......125NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 200SE 125SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 107.0W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 106.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.9N 108.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 107.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 20.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 22.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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