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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0300
0300Z THU JUN 22 2000
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 106.4W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 125SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 106.4W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 106.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.4N 107.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.1N 109.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.1N 111.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 106.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 19.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.5N 117.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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