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TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0300
2100Z MON JUN 19 2000
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EAST OF PUERTO ANGEL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  99.1W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 110SE 110SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 110SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  99.1W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  98.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.0N 101.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  55SW  55NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.0N 103.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.3N 105.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  99.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 16.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  65SW  65NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 17.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  65SW  65NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART/LAWRENCE

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