HOME	PRODUCTS	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0300
1500Z MON JUN 19 2000
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN
EFFECT EAST OF PUERTO ANGEL TO SALINA CRUZ.  THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING EAST OF PUERTO ANGEL WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  97.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  97.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  96.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.8N  98.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.9N 100.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.6N 102.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  97.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 17.2N 103.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 17.8N 107.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
NNNN