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HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1700
1500Z THU OCT 19 2000
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.3N  60.2W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT 33 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT.......145NE 175SE 175SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 240SE 240SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.3N  60.2W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.8N  61.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 45.0N  56.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 240SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 49.5N  51.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...360NE 420SE 300SW 240NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.3N  60.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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