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HURRICANE KEITH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1500
0900Z THU OCT 05 2000
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM
TUXPAN TO MATAMOROS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT SOUTH
OF TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO COATZACOALCOS MEXICO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT
MANSFIELD TEXAS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  96.7W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  96.7W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  96.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N  98.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.0N 102.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N  96.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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