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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEITH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1500
1500Z WED OCT 04 2000
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM MATAMOROS SOUTHWARD TO COATZACOALCOS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE
WATCH AREA LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  93.5W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  93.5W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  93.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.8N  94.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.9N  96.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.3N  97.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  93.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 25.0N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 27.5N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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