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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEITH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1500
0900Z WED OCT 04 2000
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  92.1W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  92.1W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  91.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.4N  93.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.3N  94.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.4N  95.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N  92.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N  97.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 26.0N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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