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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEITH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1500
1500Z TUE OCT 03 2000
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  89.4W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  89.4W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  89.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.5N  90.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.1N  91.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.2N  92.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  89.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N  93.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 25.0N  95.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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