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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1500
2100Z THU SEP 28 2000
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  82.9W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  82.9W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  82.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.5N  83.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.7N  83.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.0N  83.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  82.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 17.5N  84.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 18.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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