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TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1200
2100Z THU SEP 21 2000
AT 4 PM CDT...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE FLORIDA-
ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE AUCILLA RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER...ON THE
LOUISIANA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER...EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE AUCILLA
RIVER FLORIDA. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT FROM THE MOUTH OF
THE PEARL RIVER TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 87.2W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 20SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 20SW 20NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 87.2W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 87.1W
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.2N 87.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.1N 86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 45NE 90SE 30SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 32.8N 84.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES...IS LIKELY
NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 87.1W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 34.5N 80.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 38.0N 70.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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