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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1200
0900Z WED SEP 20 2000
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF THE ISLE
OF YOUTH...HAVANA...THE CITY OF HAVANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO.  THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED IN THE NEXT
FEW HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  83.3W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  83.3W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  82.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 22.5N  85.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 24.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 27.0N  87.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N  83.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 29.5N  87.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 34.0N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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