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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1200
2300Z TUE SEP 19 2000
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA WILL LIKELY ISSUE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE PROVINCES OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH...HAVANA...THE CITY OF
HAVANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  80.7W AT 19/2300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  80.7W AT 19/2300Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  79.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.5N  82.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 22.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 24.0N  86.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N  80.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 26.0N  86.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 30.0N  85.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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