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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1200
0900Z SAT SEP 16 2000
 
AT 5 AM AST...THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...
MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND ST. KITTS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.  TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  55.1W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  55.1W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  54.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.2N  56.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.5N  59.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.5N  62.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  55.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 16.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 16.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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