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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1200
2100Z FRI SEP 15 2000
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  53.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  53.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  52.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.0N  55.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.3N  58.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N  53.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 16.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 16.5N  70.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
FORECASTER MAYFIELD
 
 
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