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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1100
1500Z FRI SEP 15 2000
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  88.9W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  88.9W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  88.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 22.0N  89.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.5N  90.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.5N  90.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N  88.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 24.5N  91.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 26.5N  91.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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