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HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1000
1500Z SAT SEP 16 2000
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  63.5W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT 22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  50SE  25SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  60SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 200SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  63.5W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N  64.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 37.2N  60.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  50SE  25SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 41.5N  55.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 46.5N  51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N  63.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 52.4N  48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...EXTRATROPICAL
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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