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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1000
0900Z FRI SEP 15 2000
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  72.2W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST SOUTHEAST OR 120 DEGREES AT  4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 175SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  72.2W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  72.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 30.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.3N  66.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 36.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N  72.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 41.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 50.0N  51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
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