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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0800
1500Z SAT SEP 02 2000
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  51.6W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  51.6W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  51.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N  53.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N  56.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.0N  58.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  51.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 21.0N  61.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 22.5N  65.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
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