HOME	PRODUCTS	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LANE DISCUSSION NUMBER  32
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT WED SEP 13 2000

THE CONVECTION THAT WAS PRODUCED EARLIER VIA THE INTERACTION WITH
THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH HAS BEEN RAPIDLY SHEARED OFF TO THE NORTH-
NORTHEAST.  MOISTURE AND OUTFLOW CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH LANE ARE
SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF CALIFORNIA...NEVADA...AND OREGON.

THE CYCLONE IS NEARING 20 DEGREE CELSIUS WATERS.  OVER THESE COOL
WATERS...WITH THE ASSOCIATED STABLE LAPSE RATES IN THE LOWER
TROPOSPHERE...IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR STRONG WINDS ABOVE THE
BOUNDARY LAYER TO BE MIXED TO THE SURFACE UNLESS NEW CONVECTION
DEVELOPS NEAR THE CENTER.  LANE IS MAINTAINED AS A TROPICAL STORM ON
THIS PACKAGE BUT IT SHOULD SOON WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION...AND BE
DISSIPATING AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN 24 HOURS.  THE REMNANT LOW WILL
BE NEARING THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE HEADING IS NOW ESTIMATED TO BE NORTHWARD...350/11.  BECAUSE OF
THE CURRENT MOTION...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED A
LITTLE FARTHER TO THE EAST.  THIS IS FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE SHALLOW-
LAYER BAM TRACK.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     13/0900Z 28.3N 123.5W    35 KTS
12HR VT     13/1800Z 30.0N 123.5W    30 KTS
24HR VT     14/0600Z 32.2N 123.5W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     14/1800Z 34.5N 123.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     15/0600Z...DISSIPATED 
 
NNNN