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TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT THU AUG 10 2000
 
GILMA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE ENOUGH INTERMITTENT CONVECTION TO
MAINTAIN DEPRESSION STATUS.  INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB
ARE 35 AND 30 KT...RESPECTIVELY.  A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 0229Z SHOWED NO
WINDS HIGHER THAN 30 KT AND THIS IS THE OFFICIAL ESTIMATE FOR THIS
PACKAGE.  DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 295/6.  SYNOPTIC REASONING IS UNCHANGED
FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY
AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     10/1500Z 22.3N 123.0W    30 KTS
12HR VT     11/0000Z 22.7N 123.9W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     11/1200Z 23.1N 125.3W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     12/0000Z 23.5N 127.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     12/1200Z 24.0N 129.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
72HR VT     13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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