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TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT SAT JUN 24 2000
 
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/14.  AS IN THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO UNTIL DISSIPATION.  THIS MOTION IS A
RESULT OF A MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE STORM OVER
MEXICO AND A LOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE STORM.

THE DEEP CONVECTION IS ALMOST ALL GONE AND SATELIITE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES ARE 55 KNOTS...SO CARLOTTA IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL
STORM.  THE TRACK TAKES CARLOTTA OVER VERY COLD WATER AND
DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN A DAY OR TWO.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     24/0900Z 22.5N 114.5W    55 KTS
12HR VT     24/1800Z 23.6N 116.1W    40 KTS
24HR VT     25/0600Z 25.2N 118.1W    30 KTS
36HR VT     25/1800Z 26.5N 119.5W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     26/0600Z 28.0N 120.5W    20 KTS...DISSIPATED
  
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