HOME	PRODUCTS	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA DISCUSSION NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT SAT MAY 27 2000
 
ALETTA IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AND HAS BECOME A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW
CLOUDS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN
REDUCED TO 30 KNOTS.  AVN GLOBAL MODEL DID A GOOD JOB IN FORECASTING
DISSIPATION.
 
AT THIS POINT TRACK MODELS ARE USELESS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED
TO MEANDER FOR A WHILE UNTIL DISSIPATION WITHIN 24 HOUR.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     27/1500Z 15.5N 107.5W    30 KTS
12HR VT     28/0000Z 15.7N 107.8W    25 KTS
24HR VT     28/1200Z 16.0N 108.0W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
 
NNNN