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HURRICANE MICHAEL DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU OCT 19 2000

SHIP AND BUOY REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE WIND FIELD IS ALREADY
EXPANDING AS MICHAEL BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH A DEVELOPING
EXTRATROPICAL STORM.   HOWEVER...SATELLITE IMAGES STILL SHOW THAT
MICHAEL IS RETAINING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND IN FACT... THERE
IS STILL AN EYE FEATURE ON VISIBLE IMAGES SURROUNDED BY DEEP
CONVECTION.  MICHAEL IS KEPT AS A HURRICANE MOVING TOWARD NORTHEAST
ABOUT 33 KNOTS AT THIS TIME.  

THE INTERACTION OF MICHAEL WITH THE DEVELOPING EXTRATROPICAL LOW IS
STILL ANTICIPATED.  THIS PROBABLY WILL RESULT IN A STRONG TROPICAL
STORM OR A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE CROSSING NEWFOUNDLAND
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS PRODUCING WINDS TO NEAR HURRICANE
FORCE AND HEAVY RAINS.  LOCAL FORECAST DETAILS ARE PROVIDED BY
ENVIRONMENT CANADA.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     19/1500Z 41.3N  60.2W    65 KTS
12HR VT     20/0000Z 45.0N  56.5W    60 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT     20/1200Z 49.5N  51.5W    60 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
 
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