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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE DISCUSSION NUMBER  26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN SEP 17 2000
 
FLORENCE HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...BUT
PASSED VERY CLOSE TO BUOY 44141 BETWEEN 10 AND 11Z THIS MORNING. 
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 55 KT BUT THE QUIKSCAT SUGGESTS A
LITTLE LESS...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET TO 50 KT.  SHIP
REPORTS AND QUIKSCAT INDICATE THAT THE SIZE OF THE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN WE HAVE BEEN CARRYING AND THE RADII ARE
REDUCED ACCORDINGLY.

FLORENCE CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A LARGE
EXTRATROPICAL LOW.  THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 040/33.  A SLIGHT TURN
TO THE LEFT AROUND THIS LOW IS EXPECTED...BRINGING THE CENTER VERY
CLOSE TO EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. 
FLORENCE WILL EITHER BECOME EXTRATROPICAL OR BECOME ABSORBED INTO
THE CIRCULATION OF THE LARGER LOW WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.  THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     17/1500Z 44.2N  54.2W    50 KTS
12HR VT     18/0000Z 49.1N  51.7W    50 KTS
24HR VT     18/1200Z 57.0N  52.4W    45 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
 
 
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