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HURRICANE ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER  73
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE AUG 22 2000
 
CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED A BIT OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS BUT THE EYE
REMAINS QUITE WELL-DEFINED.  SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGE
FROM 65 TO 77 KT.  GIVEN THE COOLING SSTS UNDER ALBERTO I HAVE SET
THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY AT THE LOW END OF THIS RANGE.  THE WATER WILL
COOL DRAMATICALLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND ALBERTO WILL LIKELY
WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM SHORTLY.

ALBERTO CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW
020/15.  THIS ACCELERATION SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS UNTIL ALBERTO BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL AND/OR GETS ABSORBED BY A
LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     22/0900Z 43.3N  44.9W    65 KTS
12HR VT     22/1800Z 46.1N  43.4W    60 KTS
24HR VT     23/0600Z 52.0N  40.0W    50 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT     23/1800Z 59.0N  35.0W    50 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT     24/0600Z ...ABSORBED 
 
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