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TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 42
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON AUG 14 2000
VISIBLE IMAGERY HAS HELPED TO LOCATE THE CENTER BETTER AND THE
INITIAL MOTION IS 090/18. THERE IS NO SIGN OF THE HARD SLOWDOWN
FORECAST BY THE MODELS...YET NEARLY ALL GUIDANCE INSISTS IT WILL
HAPPEN VERY SOON. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ADJUSTED A LITTLE TO THE
EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.
DVORAK ESTIMATES ARE NOW ALL BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH AND THE WINDS
ARE LOWERED TO 60 KT. THE FORECAST IS FOR CONTINUED WEAKENING
ALTHOUGH THE FORECAST TRACK MOVES THE CENTER BACK OVER 25 DEGREE C
WATER AFTER 48 HOURS AND THIS COULD KEEP THE WINDS FROM DECREASING
VERY FAST.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 14/1500Z 39.0N 40.0W 60 KTS
12HR VT 15/0000Z 38.7N 38.7W 55 KTS
24HR VT 15/1200Z 37.9N 38.4W 50 KTS
36HR VT 16/0000Z 37.4N 39.1W 45 KTS
48HR VT 16/1200Z 37.0N 40.0W 40 KTS
72HR VT 17/1200Z 36.5N 42.5W 35 KTS
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