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ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE BRET INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14B NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM CDT SUN AUG 22 1999 ...BRET...A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE THREATENING THE COASTS OF TEXAS AND NORTHERN MEXICO... HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA MEXICO TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE TEXAS COAST FROM EAST OF PORT OCONNOR TO FREEPORT. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA SOUTHWARD TO TUXPAN MEXICO. AT 2 AM CDT...0700Z...HURRICANE BRET WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.5 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF DUE EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. HOWEVER THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY THAT BRET COULD MOVE FARTHER NORTHWARD THAN EXPECTED...IN WHICH CASE HURRICANE WARNINGS WOULD HAVE TO BE EXTENDED NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE TEXAS COAST. RESIDENTS AND LOCAL OFFICIALS SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE QUICK ACTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BRET IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES...160 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON THE SPEED OF MOTION OF THE HURRICANE. ONSHORE WINDS NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM SURGE COASTAL FLOODING OF UP TO 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH HIGHER VALUES AT THE HEADS OF BAYS. FOR LOCAL INFORMATION...SEE STATEMENTS BEING ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN YOUR AREA. REPEATING THE 2 AM CDT POSITION...25.7 N... 95.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT. PASCH NNNN