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BULLETIN
HURRICANE LENNY ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON NOV 15 1999
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COASTS OF HAITI
AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.  AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...A HURRICANE WATCH
IS ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LENNY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.1 WEST OR ABOUT 425 MILES...685
KM...SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
LENNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A U.S. AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED THAT THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 145 MILES...230 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  984 MB...29.06 INCHES.
  
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THE
HURRICANE.  MOST OF THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS OVER WATER AT THIS
TIME BUT IS APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA TONIGHT.
  
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...14.9 N... 74.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
AST.
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
  
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