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HURRICANE LENNY ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM EST MON NOV 15 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.  THESE MAY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI.  AT
NOON EST..1700Z....THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WILL
ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM PERDENALES TO CABO ENGANO.  A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
 
AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LENNY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.2 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES
...330 KM...SOUTH OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
LENNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST SOUTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...
AND A MOSTLY EASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO  85 MILES...140 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  971 MB...28.67 INCHES.
  
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THE
HURRICANE.  MOST OF THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS OVER WATER AT THIS
TIME BUT COULD SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA LATER
TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 10 AM EST POSITION...15.0 N... 76.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST SOUTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 971 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM
EST.
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
  
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