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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM EST SUN NOV 14 1999
 
AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.5 WEST OR ABOUT 225
MILES...365 KM...SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR  8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THERE ARE SOME SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING AND THE DEPRESSION
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR ON MONDAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THE
DEPRESSION.  THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF JAMAICA ARE THE MOST
LIKELY AREAS TO BE AFFECTED BY THIS RAIN TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 10 AM EST POSITION...15.9 N... 79.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM EST.
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
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