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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU OCT 21 1999
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR
THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.  ALL INTERESTS
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.7 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES
...90 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
 
JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...
AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND JOSE COULD AGAIN BECOME A
HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR BERMUDA LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS AND A THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES CONTINUES.

TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY RETURN TO NORMAL TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...19.2 N... 65.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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