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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSE ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON OCT 18 1999

...TENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC... 

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR BARBADOS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY.  ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER
ANTILLES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING
SYSTEM.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  53.2 WEST OR ABOUT 465 MILES
...745 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.
 
JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...AND 
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
...AND THE SYSTEM COULD REACH HURRICANE STATUS DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...10.4 N... 53.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
AST.
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.

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