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HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU OCT 14 1999
 
...IRENE NOW A HURRICANE...APPROACHING WESTERN CUBA...AND A THREAT
TO FLORIDA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA INCLUDING THE
PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...HAVANA...CIUDAD HAVANA...MATANZAS AND
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE FLORIDA
KEYS WEST OF CRAIG KEY AND FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS MORNING.
 
INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES...OR WARNINGS...
MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.7 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES...205
KM...SOUTHWEST OF HAVANA CUBA.
 
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR  7 MPH...11 KM/HR. ON THIS
TRACK...IRENE WILL CROSS WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF IRENE.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...21.6 N... 83.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
EDT.
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.

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