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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 1999

...HARVEY BECOMING RAPIDLY ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM...WHILE
MOVING OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD
THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS TO JUST WEST OF CRAIG KEY.
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM CRAIG KEY NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE EAST FLORIDA COAST TO JUPITER.  THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED TONIGHT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
AND THE ABACOS IN THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS BUT IS LIKELY TO BE
DISCONTINUED TONIGHT.
  
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE BROAD AND POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE  80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PALM BEACH
FLORIDA.
 
HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME ABSORBED BY A
DEVELOPING FRONTAL SYSTEM TONIGHT. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...AND
UP TO 6 FEET AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...ARE STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE PATH OF
HARVEY.  WEATHER SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE TONIGHT ONCE HARVEY MOVES
AWAY FROM SOUTH FLORIDA.  SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...26.3 N... 80.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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