[NCEP Logo] HOME ACTIVE
CYCLONES
FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 20 1999

...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA...
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO BOCA
RATON. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BOCA RATON
TO FLORIDA CITY...AND FOR GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACOS IN
THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST CAPE SABLE
TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.2 WEST OR ABOUT 
110 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ST. PETERSBURG FLORIDA.

HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR  60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES MAINLY 
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS  995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...AND
UP TO 8 FEET AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE
SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF HARVEY.  SEE STATEMENTS
FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR FLOOD
WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...27.1 N... 84.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT...TUESDAY.
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
NNNN


Problems?