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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 20 1999

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED SOUTH...
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NOW EXTENDS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EXTENDED SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH NOW EXTENDS
FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO JUST SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.4 WEST
OR ABOUT 180 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ST. PETERSBURG FLORIDA.
 
HARVEY HAS MOVED ERRATICALLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT IT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR  6 MPH THIS
EVENING... AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF  998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...AND
UP TO 8 FEET AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE
SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE LIKELY
ALONG THE PATH OF HARVEY.  SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...27.0 N... 85.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
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