HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED AUG 18 1999
 
...CORRECTION FOR DIRECTION FROM TAMPICO MEXICO...

...POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE MOVING LITTLE...

REPORTS FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT THIS EVENING
INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE IS VERY
POORLY ORGANIZED.  

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE ILL-DEFINED CENTER OF THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.3
WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES...480 KM...SOUTHEAST OF TAMPICO MEXICO.  
 
THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...AND MAY DRIFT
ERRATICALLY WHILE THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS.    
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
INTERESTS IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS DEPRESSION...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE MEXICAN COAST ON THURSDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...19.6 N... 94.3 W.  MOVEMENT
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM CDT...THURSDAY.
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
NNNN