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HURRICANE LENNY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1 AM EST MON NOV 15 1999

...LENNY MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF
HAITI.
 
AT 1 AM EST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LENNY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.6 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES...275
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
LENNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR  9 MPH...14 KM/HR...
AND A GENERAL EASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL REACH
LENNY WITHIN THE HOUR.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO  85 MILES...140 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
LENNY.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
STRONG ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2
TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA.
 
REPEATING THE 1 AM EST POSITION...15.6 N... 77.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM EST.
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
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