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BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOSE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM AST THU OCT 20 1999

...JOSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT...BARBUDA...
NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST EUSTATIUS...SABA...DUTCH ST MAARTEN...
ANGUILLA... THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR FRENCH ST. MARTIN AND
ST. BARTHELEMY.

AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.9 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF ST CROIX IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE TO BRING THE CORE OF JOSE OVER THE
NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS.  

A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT AND ITS EFFECTS COVER A LARGE AREA. DO
NOT FOCUS ONLY ON THE TRACK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 90 MPH...145 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY OVER ISLANDS WITH HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  ST.
MAARTEN REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 63 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 94 MPH.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS  991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH JOSE.  HIGHER
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.
 
TIDES WILL BE HIGHER THAN NORMAL AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.

REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...18.1 N... 63.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
90 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
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