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HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT SUN OCT 17 1999

...IRENE MOVING PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS...

AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS SOUTH OF THE SOUTH
SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA ARE DISCONTINUED.  A HURRICANE WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO
THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING ALBEMARLE SOUND.
 
ALL INTERESTS SOUTH OF THE WARNING AREA SHOULD EXERCISE DUE CAUTION
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.8 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTH
OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
 
IRENE IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH.  THIS GENERAL
MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.  WITH THIS TURN TO THE NORTHEAST...THE CENTER OF IRENE WILL
TRACK VERY CLOSE TO THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST DURING THE NEXT 12
HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...
MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS.  AT 641 PM...FRYING PAN SHOALS REPORTED A
WIND GUST TO 68 MPH. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310 MILES.
 
THE MOST RECENT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS  978 MB...28.88
INCHES.
  
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN LOCATIONS WITH ONSHORE
WINDS.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
WILL OCCUR NEAR THE PATH OF IRENE.  GIVEN THE SATURATED
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN NORTH CAROLINA...THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY
TO PRODUCE SERIOUS FLOODING.  SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...33.3 N... 77.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
 
JARVINEN
 
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