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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 1999
 
...HARVEY NEAR EVERGLADES CITY...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN...
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
NORTHWARD TO JUPITER ALONG THE EAST COAST.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
AND THE ABACOS IN THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS.
 
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.5 WEST VERY NEAR
EVERGLADES CITY. 
 
HARVEY HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE
EAST NEAR 15 MPH.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL BE
CROSSING THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
WILL MOVE OVER THE ATLANTIC AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS LATER
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN
SQUALLS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  HARVEY IS NOT WELL
ORGANIZED...WITH NEARLY ALL OF THE RAIN AND STRONG WINDS LOCATED TO
THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  SOMBRERO KEY JUST REPORTED GUSTS TO
48 MPH AND TAMIAMI AIRPORT REPORTED GUSTS TO 44 MPH.  HARVEY IS
FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL OR ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...IF NOT SOONER.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 
1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...AND
UP TO 6 FEET AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...ARE STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.  
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE PATH OF
HARVEY. WEATHER SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE TONIGHT ONCE HARVEY MOVES
AWAY FROM SOUTH FLORIDA.  SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
 
A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...25.8 N... 81.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
 
AVILA
 
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