HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

SAZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  48A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM EDT SAT SEP 04 1999

...DENNIS MAKING LANDFALL ON THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/
VIRGINIA BORDER TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO
AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS.  THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DOWNGRADED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER TONIGHT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST
NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CHINCOTEAGUE
VIRGINIA.  THIS INCLUDES THE ENTIRE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE TIDAL
POTOMAC.
 
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA TO
GREAT EGG INLET NEW JERSEY.
 
AT 7 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.7 WEST BASED ON THE RADAR AT
MOREHEAD CITY.  THIS POSITION IS INLAND ABOUT 25 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF NEW BERN NORTH CAROLINA.
 
THE SHORT TERM MOTION HAS BEEN A LITTLE ERRATIC BUT DENNIS IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH TONIGHT.  THIS
TRACK SHOULD MOVE DENNIS FURTHER INLAND.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING
IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AS THE STORM CONTINUES INLAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS AT THE HEADS OF BAYS ARE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA.  A HAM RADIO REPORT OF 5 FT ABOVE
NORMAL WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT THE NEUSE RIVER NEAR NEW BERN. 
LARGE AND DANGEROUS SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS ARE CONTINUING TO 
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
...SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS SHOW AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN
OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.  RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY
ALONG THE PATH OF DENNIS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 7 PM EDT POSITION...34.9 N... 76.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.
 
LAWRENCE
  
NNNN