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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT OCT 30 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE NOV  2 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.6N  87.1W      49  X  X  X 49   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2
18.4N  87.9W      16 14  X  1 31   VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2
19.9N  88.2W       1 20  2  1 24   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  2  4  6   BURAS LA           X  X  X  3  3
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  4  4   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  2  6  8   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  5  6   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     X  1  7  6 14   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W     X 15  4  2 21   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  2  2
MZBZ 175N 883W    22  7  X  X 29   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  2  2
MGPB 157N 886W    18  2  X  X 20   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  2  2
MHNJ 165N 859W    60  X  X  X 60   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  2  2
MNPC 141N 834W    99  X  X  X 99   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  5  5
MMFR 185N 926W     X  1  2  4  7   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  5  5
MMMD 210N 897W     X  8  7  4 19   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  4  4
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  3  3
KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  4  4   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
JARVINEN
 
 
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