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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI OCT 29 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON NOV  1 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
12.5N  84.0W      54  X  X  X 54   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  6 10  4 20
13.2N  85.0W      28  5  1  X 34   MNPC 141N 834W    33  X  1  X 34
14.0N  86.0W       4 18  3  2 27   MNBL 120N 839W    53  X  X  X 53
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2   SKSP 126N 817W    99  X  X  X 99
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  8  8   MRLM 100N 831W    14  1  X  1 16
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  5 12 17   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  7  7
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  9  9 18   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  7  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
JARVINEN
 
 
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