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ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT THU OCT 14 1999 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SUN OCT 17 1999 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 24.0N 83.5W 32 X 1 X 33 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 6 6 25.5N 83.2W 11 13 1 1 26 WILMINGTON NC X X X 4 4 27.0N 83.0W X 15 5 2 22 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 3 3 MWCG 193N 814W X X X 2 2 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 2 2 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 2 2 KEY WEST FL 13 7 2 X 22 MUCF 221N 805W 8 1 1 1 11 MARCO ISLAND FL 1 14 3 2 20 MUSN 216N 826W 99 X X X 99 FT MYERS FL X 13 5 2 20 MUHA 230N 824W 35 1 X X 36 VENICE FL X 13 6 2 21 MUAN 219N 850W 19 X X 1 20 TAMPA FL X 6 10 3 19 MMCZ 205N 869W X X X 2 2 CEDAR KEY FL X 2 11 5 18 MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 3 4 ST MARKS FL X X 9 6 15 MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 4 5 APALACHICOLA FL X 1 9 6 16 MYGF 266N 787W X X 3 6 9 PANAMA CITY FL X 1 7 6 14 MARATHON FL 5 10 2 1 18 PENSACOLA FL X X 3 7 10 MIAMI FL X 6 5 4 15 MOBILE AL X X 1 6 7 W PALM BEACH FL X 2 7 5 14 GULFPORT MS X X 1 4 5 FT PIERCE FL X 1 7 6 14 BURAS LA X X X 5 5 COCOA BEACH FL X 1 7 6 14 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 3 3 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 7 8 15 GULF 29N 85W X 3 10 4 17 JACKSONVILLE FL X X 5 9 14 GULF 29N 87W X 1 5 6 12 SAVANNAH GA X X 1 10 11 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 5 6 CHARLESTON SC X X X 8 8 GULF 28N 91W X X X 2 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI C FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT D FROM 8AM SAT TO 8AM SUN E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT AVILA NNNN