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ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT WED OCT 13 1999 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.7 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SAT OCT 16 1999 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 22.5N 83.8W 31 1 1 X 33 SAVANNAH GA X X X 5 5 23.5N 83.5W 17 7 1 1 26 CHARLESTON SC X X X 3 3 24.5N 83.5W 4 14 3 2 23 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2 MKJS 185N 779W X X X 2 2 KEY WEST FL 1 8 5 4 18 MWCG 193N 814W 3 1 2 3 9 MARCO ISLAND FL X 2 6 7 15 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 4 4 FT MYERS FL X 1 6 7 14 MUCF 221N 805W 5 3 3 3 14 VENICE FL X 1 6 8 15 MUSN 216N 826W 33 1 X X 34 TAMPA FL X X 4 9 13 MUHA 230N 824W 16 4 2 1 23 CEDAR KEY FL X X 2 10 12 MUAN 219N 850W 34 X X X 34 ST MARKS FL X X 1 9 10 MMCZ 205N 869W 2 1 1 3 7 APALACHICOLA FL X X 2 9 11 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2 PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 8 10 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 5 5 PENSACOLA FL X X 1 7 8 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 5 5 MOBILE AL X X X 6 6 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 7 7 GULFPORT MS X X X 5 5 MMMD 210N 897W X X X 2 2 BURAS LA X X X 5 5 MARATHON FL X 4 5 6 15 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 4 4 MIAMI FL X X 3 8 11 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 2 2 W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 9 10 GULF 29N 85W X X 4 9 13 FT PIERCE FL X X 1 9 10 GULF 29N 87W X X 3 8 11 COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 8 9 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 6 7 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 9 9 GULF 28N 91W X X X 3 3 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 8 8 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT AVILA NNNN